Should I buy Hindalco Industries stock in 2025?
Is it the right time to buy Hindalco Industries?
Hindalco Industries Ltd. stands out as a leading name in India's metals and mining sector, with a strong presence in both aluminium and copper production. As of July 2025, the stock trades at approximately ₹693 on the NSE, with an average daily volume of about 5.4 million shares, reflecting robust liquidity and investor attention. Hindalco recently completed the strategic acquisition of AluChem Companies in the US, signaling its focus on enhancing its global alumina capabilities. Q1 FY25 results demonstrated resilient revenue growth at 7.6% year-on-year and a healthy net profit increase despite coming in just below analyst expectations—a minor headwind managed through ongoing operational efficiency. The company has announced a significant ₹45,000 crore investment plan to expand its aluminium and copper businesses over the next few years, strengthening its leadership in value-added products and recycling via Novelis. Market sentiment is constructive, buoyed by both strong fundamentals and technical indicators pointing to a neutral-to-positive outlook. With sector dynamics favoring resource-efficient producers, and based on the consensus of more than 11 national and international banks, the target price is set at ₹900. Hindalco's vertical integration, global reach, and innovation-driven strategy position it well in a structurally attractive industry.
- ✅Strong revenue and net profit growth in recent quarters.
- ✅Leader in global aluminium recycling through Novelis subsidiary.
- ✅Aggressive investment plan to expand core and value-added segments.
- ✅Diversified exposure across Asia, America, and Europe.
- ✅Low PER ratio indicates valuation remains attractive.
- ❌Earnings somewhat sensitive to global commodity price volatility.
- ❌Strong dependency on developed markets through Novelis could impact cyclical stability.
- ✅Strong revenue and net profit growth in recent quarters.
- ✅Leader in global aluminium recycling through Novelis subsidiary.
- ✅Aggressive investment plan to expand core and value-added segments.
- ✅Diversified exposure across Asia, America, and Europe.
- ✅Low PER ratio indicates valuation remains attractive.
Is it the right time to buy Hindalco Industries?
- ✅Strong revenue and net profit growth in recent quarters.
- ✅Leader in global aluminium recycling through Novelis subsidiary.
- ✅Aggressive investment plan to expand core and value-added segments.
- ✅Diversified exposure across Asia, America, and Europe.
- ✅Low PER ratio indicates valuation remains attractive.
- ❌Earnings somewhat sensitive to global commodity price volatility.
- ❌Strong dependency on developed markets through Novelis could impact cyclical stability.
- ✅Strong revenue and net profit growth in recent quarters.
- ✅Leader in global aluminium recycling through Novelis subsidiary.
- ✅Aggressive investment plan to expand core and value-added segments.
- ✅Diversified exposure across Asia, America, and Europe.
- ✅Low PER ratio indicates valuation remains attractive.
- What is Hindalco Industries?
- The Hindalco Industries Stock Price
- Our full analysis of the Hindalco Industries stock
- How to Buy Hindalco Industries Stock in India
- Our 7 tips for buying Hindalco Industries stock
- The latest news about Hindalco Industries
- FAQ
- On the same topic
Why trust HelloSafe ?
At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Hindalco Industries for over three years. Every month, over a million users in India trust us to decipher market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Hindalco Industries.
What is Hindalco Industries?
Indicator | Value | Analysis |
---|---|---|
🏳️ Nationality | India | Key Indian player in aluminum and copper with a strong global footprint. |
💼 Market | NSE, BSE | Listed on major Indian stock exchanges, ensuring high liquidity and accessibility. |
🏛️ ISIN code | INE038A01020 | Unique Indian identifier allowing broad institutional participation. |
👤 CEO | Satish Pai | Veteran leader steering global expansion and downstream diversification. |
🏢 Market cap | ₹1,55,699 crores | Represents significant size; among the largest metal companies in Asia ex-China. |
📈 Revenue | ₹2,38,496 crores (FY25) | Record revenue growth, benefiting from global demand and strong Novelis contribution. |
💹 EBITDA | ₹35,496 crores (FY25) | Robust profitability; margin expansion led by premium downstream and recycling. |
📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) | 9.73 | Attractive valuation; reflects solid earnings despite commodity price headwinds. |
The Hindalco Industries Stock Price
The price of Hindalco Industries stock is rising this week. As of now, the share trades at ₹692.85, recording a slight dip of ₹5.50 over the past 24 hours but posting a 0.33% gain over the week.
The company boasts a market capitalization of ₹1,55,699 crores and sees an average daily trading volume of 5.39 million shares. Investors will note a P/E ratio of 9.73, a dividend yield of 0.51%, and a stock beta of 1.34, signaling above-average volatility.
Such volatility often creates additional opportunities for active investors or those seeking growth potential in the metals sector.
Our full analysis of the Hindalco Industries stock
We have thoroughly examined Hindalco Industries’s latest financial statements and assessed its share price evolution across the last three years. Our analysis integrates diverse sources, from hard financial metrics to advanced technical-to-market signals, relative competitive positioning, and sector data as processed by our proprietary algorithms. So, why might Hindalco Industries stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global metals and advanced materials sector in 2025?
Recent performance and market context
Hindalco Industries has shown remarkable price resilience over the past twelve months, currently trading at ₹692.85, with a stable weekly performance (+0.33%) and consistent recovery from earlier market volatility. While the latest intraday move was slightly negative (–0.79%), the stock’s six-month momentum remains robust (+17.2%), signaling that buyer interest has returned after a period of consolidation. The company benefits from strong macroeconomic tailwinds: India’s ambitious infrastructure and renewable energy projects continue to drive demand for aluminum and copper, Hindalco’s core products. Recent developments—such as the strategic acquisition of AluChem Companies (USD 125 million) and an accelerated investment plan of ₹45,000 crores over the next four years—underscore management’s confidence in growth. In 2025, Hindalco reported a record ₹2,38,496 crores in annual revenue and significant EBITDA expansion (+38%), confirming its adaptability and competitive edge in the domestic and global markets.
Technical analysis
A closer look at Hindalco’s technical landscape reveals underlying bullish momentum. The stock is currently trading above its short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages—20-day (₹665.21), 50-day (₹650.80), 100-day (₹645.93), and 200-day (₹652.24)—a classic bullish configuration. The 14-day RSI reads 65.9, approaching overbought territory, but not yet signaling exhaustion, while the MACD stays positive with a value of 13.5, reflecting ongoing buyer dominance and a clear bullish crossover maintained for seven periods. Technical support has solidified above ₹681, providing a cushion for the current uptrend, and resistance appears moderate below ₹715. Notably, the price action remains comfortably above seven out of eight monitored moving averages, further reinforcing the hypothesis of a developing bullish structure and an imminent breakout if macro or company-specific catalysts unfold.
Fundamental analysis
Hindalco’s fundamentals are distinguished by accelerating topline growth, powerful operational leverage, and a diversified business model. The company reported an industry-leading 10% annual revenue growth in FY25, coupled with a 58% surge in net profit to ₹15,999 crores and an EBITDA margin that reached a record ₹35,496 crores (+38% year-on-year). This outperformance is further underscored by a highly competitive P/E ratio of 9.73, indicating that the market has not fully priced in Hindalco’s growth trajectory or its improving profitability, especially compared to global peers with higher multiples. The company’s structural strengths are manifold:
- World-class vertical integration: Spanning bauxite mining, alumina refining, smelting, casting, rolling, and recycling through the Novelis subsidiary.
- Market leadership: Largest producer of aluminum in Asia (ex-China), commanding significant share in aluminum flat rolled products and copper.
- Pace-setting innovation: Heavy, recurring capital investment in recycling technology, high-value downstream alloys, and sustainable manufacturing.
- Robust global footprint: Transcontinental reach via Novelis, the leading aluminum recycler and value-added product specialist in North America and Europe.
These attributes, combined with the company’s disciplined approach to capital allocation and strategic expansion, create a compelling case for continued earnings growth and premium market positioning.
Volume and liquidity
Sustained market confidence in Hindalco Industries is evident in its robust average daily trading volume of over 5.39 million shares (3-month average), ensuring deep liquidity and the ability to accommodate large institutional flows without excessive slippage. The current market capitalisation stands at ₹1,55,699 crores, reflecting its place among the Nifty 50 and confirming its status as an anchor holding among Indian indices. The float structure remains favorable, with a balanced mix of promoter, institutional, and foreign ownership that supports dynamic price discovery and ongoing valuation adjustment as news flows and macro data evolve.
Catalysts and positive outlook
What sets Hindalco apart in the near and medium term are multiple converging catalysts:
- Strategic expansion: The regular announcement of high-impact acquisitions, such as AluChem, deepens expertise in specialty alumina and positions Hindalco at the forefront of high-margin niches.
- Massive investments: The ₹45,000 crore capital investment plan focuses on downstream growth, doubling the pre-tax profit share of value-added segments, and further de-risking commodity reliance.
- ESG leadership and innovation: Hindalco has reinforced its stance as a sustainability frontrunner in metals, aggressively scaling recycled content in its products and enhancing energy efficiency. This aligns the business with global ESG mandates and regulatory trends, highly relevant for major procurement contracts.
- Favorable regulatory context: Government policies in India and globally are increasingly supportive of domestic manufacturing, “green” aluminum, and import substitution, all of which benefit Hindalco’s integrated model.
- Rising global demand: Renewed consumption from the United States, Europe, and emerging Asian economies, especially in automotive, packaging, construction, and renewable energy, are likely to keep capacity utilization high.
With the Novelis division contributing nearly 60% of consolidated revenue and renowned for best-in-class margins and geographic diversification, Hindalco is well insulated from local cyclical swings and stands to benefit outsized from rising downstream consumption trends.
Investment strategies
For investors considering Hindalco Industries, multiple entry strategies align with different investment horizons:
- Short-term: Recent bullish technical momentum, trading above key moving averages, and proximity to support invite tactical positioning for anticipated technical breakouts, particularly as earnings season approaches.
- Medium-term: The robust capital expenditure roadmap, margin-expanding overseas ventures, and sector tailwinds from infrastructure and clean energy projects argue for accumulation on pullbacks, ahead of expected re-ratings.
- Long-term: Hindalco’s multi-decade record, deep integration, innovation pipeline, and leadership in ESG create a sustainable moat for compounding capital, appealing to growth-oriented portfolios seeking risk-adjusted outperformance.
Investors should pay close attention to quarterly earnings, global commodity price moves, and news of new project commencements or regulatory shifts to optimize timing.
Is it the right time to buy Hindalco Industries?
In summary, Hindalco Industries stands on the cusp of a new expansion cycle, driven by operational excellence, world-class innovation, and robust demand fundamentals across global markets. The current valuation appears unjustifiably low given growth rates and profitability improvements, while technical signals point to an unfolding bullish phase. With strong liquidity, ambitious investment plans, favorable macro trends, and ongoing strategic actions, Hindalco Industries seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking both growth and resilience in the metals sector.
For those searching for a stock combining global ambition, domestic scale, and technological leadership in the evolving metals landscape, Hindalco Industries deserves to be seriously considered as a cornerstone holding for the coming years. This dynamic, well-capitalized, and innovative giant is uniquely positioned to capture value in an era of transformative demand for sustainable, high-performance materials, making now a particularly compelling moment for investment consideration.
How to Buy Hindalco Industries Stock in India
Buying Hindalco Industries stock online is both simple and secure when you use a regulated Indian broker. Investors can typically choose between two main methods: traditional spot buying, where you purchase the actual shares, and CFDs (Contracts for Difference), which allow you to trade on margin and benefit from price movements without owning the stock. Each approach has its own advantages and risks, so it is useful to explore which best matches your goals. To help you select the right broker, a detailed comparison can be found further down the page.
Spot buying
Cash purchase of Hindalco Industries stock means you directly own the company's shares in your DEMAT account. Typically, you’ll pay a fixed commission per order—often between ₹10 and ₹25 per trade, depending on the broker.
Gain scenario
Suppose the Hindalco Industries share price is $8 (about ₹693), you can buy around 125 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.
If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.
Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.
Trading via CFD
CFD trading allows you to speculate on Hindalco Industries share price movements without actually owning the shares. You pay a spread (the broker’s margin on buy/sell prices) and, if you hold positions overnight, financing fees. CFDs also let you use leverage to amplify your potential gains (and losses), which is why they are popular with active traders.
CFD Gain Scenario with Leverage
You open a CFD position on Hindalco Industries shares, with 5x leverage. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000. ✔️ Gain scenario: If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).
Final advice
Before investing in Hindalco Industries, always compare brokers’ fees and terms—costs can vary and directly impact your returns. The right method—spot purchase or CFD—will depend on your preferences, strategy, and risk profile. You’ll find a detailed broker comparator just below to help you make an informed choice.
Check out the best brokers in India!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying Hindalco Industries stock
📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for Hindalco Industries |
---|---|
Analyze the market | Review recent price trends, earnings growth, and demand for metals to assess the timing for buying Hindalco Industries. |
Choose the right trading platform | Select an Indian broker registered with NSE/BSE that offers seamless access to Hindalco Industries shares, competitive fees, and robust support. |
Define your investment budget | Allocate an amount that fits your risk profile, as Hindalco Industries can be volatile due to commodity cycles. |
Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Consider a long-term approach to benefit from Hindalco Industries' downstream expansion and global diversification. |
Monitor news and financial results | Track quarterly results, major acquisitions, and updates on aluminium and copper prices that often affect Hindalco Industries. |
Use risk management tools | Apply stop-loss or limit orders to manage potential downside in volatile periods for Hindalco Industries. |
Sell at the right time | Plan to take profits when the stock reaches technical resistance levels or after strong positive financial news. |
The latest news about Hindalco Industries
Hindalco Industries shares rose by 0.33% over the last week, outperforming sector peers. This performance aligns with notable sector momentum and robust institutional participation on the NSE and BSE, suggesting positive market sentiment for metals and mining stocks among Indian investors.
Strong quarterly earnings report with a 25% year-on-year net profit increase supports bullish sentiment. Hindalco Industries posted a net profit of ₹3,074 crores and an EBITDA up 31% year-on-year for Q1 FY25, signaling efficient cost management, higher realisation from aluminium downstream operations, and resilience in fluctuating commodity environments.
Strategic investment plan of ₹45,000 crores over the next four years underpins long-term growth confidence. The company announced significant investments in expanding aluminium and copper operations in India, targeting advances in downstream product capabilities and strengthening its leadership in value-added and sustainable materials manufacturing.
Recent acquisition of AluChem Companies marks ambitious global expansion and technology access. Hindalco Industries completed the $125 million purchase of US-based AluChem, enhancing its presence in high-purity alumina and specialty alumina markets, a move expected to positively impact both international revenues and Indian innovation initiatives.
Technical indicators show the stock is in a bullish uptrend, with support from seven moving averages. As of July 3, 2025, Hindalco Industries trades above seven of its eight key moving averages and maintains a neutral-to-bullish technical outlook, supported by an RSI of 65.9 and a positive MACD, pointing to continued interest and sustainable upside for domestic investors.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for Hindalco Industries stock?
Hindalco Industries currently pays a dividend, with the latest being ₹3.50 per share, paid in July 2025. The current dividend yield is moderate but consistent with industry averages for metals and mining companies. The company reviews its dividend policy based on profits, maintaining steady distributions over the last few years.
What is the forecast for Hindalco Industries stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price of ₹692.85, the projected value is ₹900 at end-2025, ₹1,040 at end-2026, and ₹1,385 at end-2027. These forecasts reflect a highly optimistic but achievable path, considering sector demand, robust earnings growth, and continued downstream expansion.
Should I sell my Hindalco Industries shares?
Selling is not generally recommended based on Hindalco Industries’ strong fundamentals and ongoing growth strategies. The company’s diversified operations, resilient earnings, and healthy balance sheet make holding a sensible option for those seeking long-term value. Historical performance also indicates potential for further gains if industry trends remain favourable.
How are dividends and capital gains from Hindalco Industries taxed in India?
Dividends received from Hindalco Industries are taxed as per the investor’s income slab, while long-term capital gains over ₹1 lakh are taxed at 10% without indexation. Short-term capital gains (if sold in less than 12 months) attract a 15% tax. There is no special local investment savings scheme specifically for Hindalco Industries shares.
What is the latest dividend for Hindalco Industries stock?
Hindalco Industries currently pays a dividend, with the latest being ₹3.50 per share, paid in July 2025. The current dividend yield is moderate but consistent with industry averages for metals and mining companies. The company reviews its dividend policy based on profits, maintaining steady distributions over the last few years.
What is the forecast for Hindalco Industries stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price of ₹692.85, the projected value is ₹900 at end-2025, ₹1,040 at end-2026, and ₹1,385 at end-2027. These forecasts reflect a highly optimistic but achievable path, considering sector demand, robust earnings growth, and continued downstream expansion.
Should I sell my Hindalco Industries shares?
Selling is not generally recommended based on Hindalco Industries’ strong fundamentals and ongoing growth strategies. The company’s diversified operations, resilient earnings, and healthy balance sheet make holding a sensible option for those seeking long-term value. Historical performance also indicates potential for further gains if industry trends remain favourable.
How are dividends and capital gains from Hindalco Industries taxed in India?
Dividends received from Hindalco Industries are taxed as per the investor’s income slab, while long-term capital gains over ₹1 lakh are taxed at 10% without indexation. Short-term capital gains (if sold in less than 12 months) attract a 15% tax. There is no special local investment savings scheme specifically for Hindalco Industries shares.