Should You Buy The Graph in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been closely following the evolution of the cryptocurrency The Graph for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users across India trust us to decode market trends and identify the most promising investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical policy, HelloSafe has never purchased The Graph nor received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

The Graph in brief

How much does 1 The Graph cost?

The price of The Graph is up this week. Currently, GRT trades at ₹7.65, reflecting a 2.33% rise over the past 24 hours and a 0.3% gain in the last week. The market capitalization now stands at ₹73.01 billion, ranking The Graph #76 among global cryptocurrencies, with a circulating supply of 9.55 billion GRT tokens. The three-month average daily volume is close to ₹2.71 billion, and GRT commands about 0.076% of the total crypto market. As with most digital assets, short-term volatility remains high, so investors in India should consider both the risks and long-term Web3 potential.

Our complete review of the cryptocurrency The Graph

Have recent on-chain trends and technicals signaled a latent opportunity for The Graph (GRT) investors, especially after its marked volatility and deep correction over the last three years? Our in-depth review—melding real-time on-chain analytics, advanced technical signals, market sentiment, and a panoramic view of competitive pressures through proprietary algorithms—sheds new light on GRT’s investment profile. So, why could The Graph emerge as a strategic entry point in 2025 for any portfolio seeking exposure to the decentralized Web3 infrastructure space?

Performance Update and Market Context

Recent Price Action

The Graph (GRT) is currently trading at $0.0918 (as of June 7, 2025), showing resilience with a 24h gain of +2.33%. On a weekly timeframe, the price is essentially flat (+0.3%), but the past year reveals a notably stronger rebound (+68.9%), underlining a renewed phase of capital inflow. The 6-month progress (+16.6%) suggests a return of confidence post-crypto winter, even if the asset remains sharply compressed—more than 96% below its February 2021 all-time-high of $2.84. The drawdown from peak levels contrasts sharply with its substantial advance since the 2022 bottom (currently 76.6% above its all-time low of $0.052), positioning GRT as a potential “deep value” candidate within decentralized infrastructure.

Liquidity and market depth remain robust. A 24h trading volume of $32.6 million and a Market Cap/FDV ratio of 0.89 confirm that The Graph’s trading ecosystem is sufficiently deep, with a circulating supply of 9.55 billion tokens and a market capitalization of $877.5 million (rank #76 by market cap). Notably, the Volume/Market Cap ratio resting above 3% indicates reasonable turnover and sustained market engagement—typical of tokens actively supported by both retail and institutional flows.

Positive Catalysts: Ecosystem & Macro Backdrop

The latest quarter confirmed record query volumes—6.14 billion, up 3.2% QoQ—demonstrating surging real-world adoption, even as the protocol executed a strategic 50% fee reduction to accelerate network usage. This tactical move, while briefly curbing revenue, shows an intention to prioritise developer traction over short-term profitability—a dynamic often synonymous with the foundational growth phases of major Web3 plays.

Macroeconomically, 2025 has seen renewed optimism toward DeFi and Web3 indexing assets, as decentralized applications fuel upswings in both developer activity and data usage. Regulatory headwinds remain moderate, and institutional interest is returning as investors seek infrastructure assets less exposed to speculative narratives and more correlated to fundamental usage demand.

Recent integrations—especially the adoption of Chainlink’s Interoperability Standard for secure, cross-chain GRT transfers—have positioned The Graph as an agnostic data layer within a fast-expanding, multi-chain world. Strategic moves to support Solana, Polygon, Arbitrum, and Avalanche only accelerate GRT’s addressable market.

Technical Analysis

Core Crypto Signals

• RSI (14-day): Sits in neutral (35.2), neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting the base for accumulation.
• MACD: Currently negative (-0.0041), maintaining a short-term bearish structure, typical following heavy corrections seeking capitulation.
• Stochastic %K: At a neutral 11.68—supporting the thesis that a bottoming process may be underway.

Moving Averages & Structural Dynamics

All critical moving averages (20/50/100/200-day SMAs) are above GRT’s current price, confirming a bearish baseline:

• 20-day SMA: $0.1033
• 50-day SMA: $0.1023
• 100-day SMA: $0.0972
• 200-day SMA: $0.1526

The presence of a well-defined “death cross” (50-day MA below the 200-day) is historically a lagging indicator, and in the context of significant network growth could paradoxically precede a long-term reversal as the oversold conditions mature.

Support/Resistance & Short-Term Outlook

• Immediate support: $0.089–$0.093—robust technical demand zone, frequently tested and defended.
• Next resistance: $0.30 (previous mid-cycle highs)—should price momentum revert, this is a potential medium-term target.
• Outlook: While price action remains compressed, sequential support retests and increased developer activity introduce the possibility of a structural bullish reversal—especially if macro conditions and ecosystem trends align.

Market Structure and Momentum

Although momentum remains cautious, fresh inflows, rising query volumes, and deep-value technical metrics suggest GRT is near a “reset” zone. For strategic investors, such conditions—where active protocol growth outpaces price performance—have historically offered contrarian opportunities.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Partnerships & Ecosystem Expansion

• Network Activity: The Graph now powers data indexing for over 3,000 “subgraphs,” serving thousands of decentralized applications—Uniswap, Aave, Compound, and numerous others in DeFi and the broader dApp universe.
• Multi-Chain Expansion: GRT’s aggressively executed multi-chain strategy, recently extending to Solana, Polygon, Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Base, deeply diversifies protocol exposure and reduces reliance on the Ethereum ecosystem alone.
• Enterprise Integration: Ongoing partnerships with blue-chip DeFi protocols cement GRT’s status as the “indexing backbone” for permissionless finance and Web3 data.

Relative Valuation & Structural Strengths

• Market Cap $877.5M; FDV $989.9M: With a Market Cap/FDV ratio of 0.89 and a price more than 96% off its all-time highs, its risk/reward stands out, particularly when compared to overvalued “newcomers”.
• Volume & Liquidity: High trading volume ($32.6M/24h) and a healthy turnover ratio indicate both institutional and retail comfort with entry and exit—even during periods of high volatility.
• Community Strength: A vast, active base of developers, indexers, and curators drive aligned, grassroots-based network effects—key for organic adoption and future fee-based value accrual.

Unique Moats: Innovation and Competitive Differentiators

• First-mover advantage: The first decentralized network enabling on-chain data querying at scale, with no direct decentralized competitor of similar adoption.
• Decentralized, censorship-resistant architecture: Critical for the long-term sustainability and resilience of Web3 infrastructure.
• Incentive-aligned tokenomics: GRT tokens not only secure network operations, but also offer staking yield, further binding stakeholders to the protocol’s long-term performance.
• Strong governance: The Graph Foundation and Council employ a decentralized governance model, empowering token holders and ensuring transparent protocol evolution.

Dominance & Positioning

• Protocol leadership: The Graph is regarded by many as the “Google of blockchains”—vital for decentralized applications’ data fetching.
• Ranked #76 by market cap—yet it possesses a greater installed utility and developer mindshare than many tokens in the top 50.

Catalysts & Forward-Looking Positives

• Protocol upgrades: Expected further enhancements to data services, subgraph composability, and cross-chain interoperability.
• Ecosystem growth: Anticipated continued expansion of DeFi, NFT, and Layer 2 integrations.
• Developer & institutional adoption: Increasing enterprise-level usage for analytics, compliance, and new dApp models.
• Regulatory outlook: With GRT categorized as a utility token, regulatory pressures remain modest compared to “security-like” assets.

Investment Strategies: Timing and Horizons

Short Term (Swing/Active Trading)

• Opportunity may arise on pullbacks toward the $0.089–$0.093 support zone, where buyers have consistently re-entered.
• For event-driven traders, protocol upgrades and major ecosystem integrations could act as volatility triggers.

Medium Term (3–12 Months)

• Consolidation beneath major resistance ($0.30) provides a lengthy accumulation window. The combination of neutral-to-bearish technicals but strong fundamental growth is a classic setup preceding mean reversion runs.
• Major protocol updates or partnership announcements, especially with new Layer 2s or blue-chip DeFi platforms, could rapidly reset sentiment.

Long Term (12 Months+)

• As a core Web3 index infrastructure asset, GRT’s downside appears limited relative to protocol utility growth and deep devaluation from ATH.
• Long-term institutional flows may increase, especially as data indexing becomes integral across multi-chain DeFi, NFT analytics, and compliance markets.

Risk and Positioning

Prudent position sizing and risk control remain necessary given ongoing volatility; however, the risk profile is increasingly asymmetric to the upside due to compressed valuations and robust adoption metrics.

Price Projections for The Graph

Is This the Right Moment to Buy The Graph?

Key Drivers Supporting Renewed Interest:

• The Graph stands out as a best-in-class decentralized infrastructure asset—its pivotal role across thousands of Web3 and DeFi applications is unparalleled.
• Fundamental metrics—record query volumes, deep developer adoption, and multi-chain expansion—far outpace many higher-multiple competitors.
• The technical setup, while showing residual bearishness, is now pairing with clear signals of a macro bottom, and key support levels continue to provide reliable re-entry points.
• Protocol developments such as Chainlink integration and Layer 2 expansion, coupled with a robust, incentivized community, set the stage for a re-rating as investor sentiment shifts from risk-off to selective accumulation.

Looking Forward:

• Multi-year projections underscore the strong potential for capital appreciation as utility and adoption deepen. The projected trajectory places GRT well on track to recapture prior cycle highs as market conditions normalize.
• Upside exposure aligns directly with the increasing criticality of data infrastructure in the Web3 economy—positioning The Graph as both a technological backbone and an asset class hedge within crypto portfolios.

Given this positioning, The Graph appears to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the rapidly expanding world of decentralized data services. The asset’s fundamentals justify renewed interest, and historical price compression could serve as an efficient springboard for the next growth phase. As always, risk management remains essential, but the converging technical and fundamental trends suggest The Graph could soon embark on a new bullish cycle—making this a compelling moment to consider a strategic allocation.

The Graph remains a high-volatility asset that offers excellent dynamic investment opportunities, but that requires rigorous risk management. The recent price acceleration demonstrates The Graph's ability to generate rapid, powerful moves, but the evolving macroeconomic context means staying selective. Key technical levels to watch are $0.089 as immediate support and $0.30 as a major resistance. The next protocol upgrade, expected in Q2 2025, could prove a decisive catalyst for The Graph’s future trajectory.

How to buy The Graph?

It is simple and secure to buy The Graph (GRT) cryptocurrency online via a regulated platform from India. Investors have two main choices: purchasing GRT outright in spot mode (the classic buy/sell method, involving direct coin ownership), or trading GRT through Contracts for Difference (CFDs), allowing you to speculate on the price without owning the coins. Each method has its own advantages, risks, and fee structure. You will find a detailed comparison of the best platforms for both approaches lower down on this page.

Buying The Graph: Spot Purchase

Buying The Graph at spot means you directly own the GRT tokens, stored in your exchange wallet or a private crypto wallet. Most major crypto platforms accept INR deposits and charge a flat commission per transaction, typically ranging from 0.1% to 1%, plus possible small deposit/withdrawal fees.

Spot Purchase Example

If the GRT token price is $0.0918 (about ₹7.6) and you invest ₹85,000 INR (approx. €1,000), you could acquire roughly 11,184 GRT tokens, factoring in about ₹425 INR (approx. €5) in transaction fees.
✔️ Gain scenario: If GRT’s price rises 10%, your GRT holdings would be worth ₹93,500, for a gross gain of ₹8,500—equivalent to +10% on your initial investment.

Trading The Graph: CFDs

Trading The Graph via CFDs means speculating on GRT’s price movement, without owning the coins themselves. CFDs allow you to “long” (bet on price increase) or “short” (bet on decrease), often with leverage. CFD trading platforms typically apply a spread (the difference between buy and sell price) plus overnight financing fees if you keep leveraged positions open after market hours.

CFD Trading Example

You stake ₹85,000 INR (approx. €1,000) as margin and use 5x leverage—this gives you an exposure worth ₹425,000 on the GRT market.
✔️ Gain scenario: If GRT’s price climbs 8%, you gain 8% × 5 = 40% on your invested capital. That’s a ₹34,000 gain (before fees) from your initial ₹85,000 investment.

Final Advice

Always compare platform fees, trading conditions, and security features before you invest in The Graph or any cryptocurrency. The best method depends on your goals and experience: direct buying suits long-term holders, while CFDs are typically more suited for experienced traders seeking volatility. To help you choose, refer to the full comparison of trusted platforms further down on this page.

Our 7 tips for buying The Graph

The latest news from The Graph

The Graph records a new all-time high in processed queries, signaling increasing utility and adoption in Web3. In Q1 2025, The Graph’s network processed a record 6.14 billion queries, marking a 3.2% quarterly increase and underscoring growing demand for decentralized data indexing as global and Indian Web3 markets mature. Revenue saw a minor dip due to a proactive 50% fee cut aimed at boosting adoption, prioritizing long-term network effects over immediate profit. This growth supports higher utility for GRT and stronger integration with sector-leading blockchain applications that are also active in the Indian crypto ecosystem.

The Graph’s adoption of Chainlink’s cross-chain standard boosts GRT interoperability across leading blockchain networks. The integration of the Chainlink Interoperability Standard now enables secure cross-chain transfers of GRT tokens on major networks like Arbitrum and Base. This enhances accessibility for Indian developers and exchanges that are increasingly supporting Layer 2 solutions and multichain protocols, reducing technical barriers and broadening the local addressable market. The move positions The Graph as a foundational protocol, adaptable to the rapidly diversifying blockchain landscape in India.

Growing ecosystem momentum: Over 3,000 subgraphs deployed and strong developer participation worldwide, including India. With thousands of developers deploying over 3,000 subgraphs, The Graph maintains robust global engagement, including visible activity from India’s fast-growing Web3 developer community. This proliferation is fostering innovation in decentralized apps relevant to DeFi, gaming and enterprise solutions favored in the Indian Web3 landscape, creating fertile ground for further adoption and utility growth that reinforce GRT’s value proposition.

Major Indian exchanges, such as WazirX and CoinDCX, continue to list GRT with strong liquidity and support for staking. GRT remains actively listed on India’s leading crypto venues, offering INR trading pairs and integrated staking options that allow local users to participate in network security and earn rewards. This accessibility, combined with India’s increasing crypto adoption and developer initiatives, facilitates both retail and institutional participation, providing additional stability and organic demand for GRT amidst broader market fluctuations.

Optimistic local sentiment and expanding DeFi partnerships signal constructive outlook for GRT in India despite bearish technicals. Indian investor and developer sentiment stays optimistic, supported by GRT’s integration with major DeFi protocols like Uniswap and Aave, both of which are popular among Indian users and innovators. While technical indicators appear short-term bearish, the sustained growth in protocol adoption, ecosystem expansion and supportive local infrastructure highlight strong long-term fundamentals, particularly as Indian regulatory clarity on crypto steadily improves.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.