Should You Buy Bitcoin in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of Bitcoin cryptocurrency for over three years. Each month, hundreds of thousands of users in India rely on us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased Bitcoin nor received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

Bitcoin in brief

How much does 1 Bitcoin cost?

The price of Bitcoin is up this week. As of today, Bitcoin is trading at ₹87,84,265, reflecting a 1.89% increase over the past 24 hours and a 1.28% rise over the last week.

Investors in India should keep in mind Bitcoin’s high volatility and strong global demand, making it both an exciting and dynamic asset for diversified portfolios.

Our complete review of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin

Have recent shifts in the digital asset landscape reshaped Bitcoin’s trajectory and outlook? Drawing on a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s trends and performance over the past three years, we have synthesized on-chain indicators, technical triggers, market data, and the evolving competitive environment with our proprietary algorithms. So, why could Bitcoin re-emerge in 2025 as a strategic entry point within the global crypto-asset ecosystem?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution: Persistent Upward Momentum

Over the last 12 months, Bitcoin has outperformed most risk assets with a substantial +51.37% gain, closing at $104,909 as of June 7, 2025, and recording a new all-time high of $111,891 in May. The digital asset briefly underwent a healthy correction to $100,000—an event driven by swift market liquidations—but managed a resilient rebound above its primary support zone. Intraday volatility remains constructive, with the 24h price action staying firmly bullish (+1.89%), and the weekly trend (+1.28%) aligning with broad participation from both institutional and retail investors.

Recent Positive Catalysts

• ETF Adoption Acceleration: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to draw substantial inflows, with $110B now under management, validating institutional appetite.
• Corporate and Treasury Buys: High-profile companies (e.g., Metaplanet, MicroStrategy) are scaling Bitcoin reserves to historic highs, driving sentiment.
• 900,000th Block Mined: The Bitcoin network just surpassed another milestone, reinforcing the robust and predictable emission schedule.
• Hashrate Milestone: Network security is at all-time highs (916.36 EH/s), a signifier of increasing miner commitment and infrastructure growth.

Macroeconomic Tailwinds for Crypto

Global macro context supports the rotation into hard assets. With persistent inflation volatility, concerns around fiat currency risk, and growing fiscal imbalances in key economies, investors are favouring scarce, decentralized assets. Bitcoin’s fixed supply narrative, post-halving rarity, and enhanced institutional accessibility via tradable ETFs, collectively underscore its strategic relevance as both a hedge and growth opportunity within diversified portfolios.

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators Signal Sustainable Upside

• RSI (14d): At 59.85, the Relative Strength Index remains north of the “neutral” band—a constructive zone, typically signaling unfinished upside potential without being overbought.
• MACD: The MACD at 274.3 reinforces trend continuation, historically a prelude to major upward legs when supported by price structure.
• Moving Averages: All major daily moving averages (MA20, MA50, MA100, MA200) are stacked bullishly below price, providing dynamic support and confirming a sustained bull trend.

Robust Support and Bullish Reversal Signals

• Major Support: The $92,703–$105,314 zone has proven resilient through multiple tests, absorbing macro-driven drawdowns and attracting fresh capital.
• Upside Triggers: The break and close above $107,000, followed by consolidation, would validate a new impulse move toward resistance bands at $109,000 and $113,000 (recent ATH).

Momentum Outlook

• The bounce from $100,000 confirms aggressive dip-buying and strong underlying demand.
• Tight supply, evidenced by diminishing exchange balances, points to continued upward pressure as investors shift to self custody or long-term holdings.
• Technical sentiment is classified as “Strong Buy,” consistent with periods ahead of parabolic expansions.

Fundamental Analysis

Growing Adoption and Institutional Validation

• Institutional Footprint: Over $55B of incremental ETF inflows projected for 2025 alone, alongside record-setting AuM in Bitcoin-linked financial products.
• Corporate Treasuries: Fortune 500 and public companies are treating Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, reinforcing the "digital gold" thesis.
• Global Expansion: As regulatory clarity grows in North America, Europe, and APAC, more traditional institutions are onboarded, widening the user base.

Attractive Relative Valuation

• Market Capitalization: At $2.09T, Bitcoin now outpaces most S&P 500 mega-caps, reflecting its emerging role as a global macro asset; yet, its fully diluted cap remains relatively contained versus gold and select tech stocks.
• Supply Dynamics: With 19.88M coins mined (out of a fixed 21M), scarcity is intensifying, particularly after the 2024 halving event slashed new issuance. This embeds a growing stock-to-flow premium.

Structural Advantages

• Technological Leadership: Continuous upgrades (Lightning Network, protocol enhancements) ensure scalability, cost-efficiency, and security improvements.
• Decentralization and Security: Record network hashrate and robust node distribution solidify Bitcoin’s status as the most battle-tested blockchain.
• Ecosystem Growth: On-chain activity, sidechain experimentation, DeFi integrations, and NFT infrastructure are expanding the utility canvas beyond store-of-value.

Market Liquidity and Dominance

• Liquidity Depth: 24h trading volumes of $46.43B and 7-day averages over $45B affirm Bitcoin as the most liquid digital asset—enabling frictionless execution even for large trades.
• Market Share: Bitcoin commands 65.92% of the entire crypto market cap, emphasizing its structural primacy and risk-off appeal in turbulent phases.

Key Catalysts & Positive Developments

• ETF Expansion: Traditional finance rails (401k, IRAs) now offer direct exposure to spot Bitcoin, opening the door for trillions in potential demand.
• Protocol Upgrades: The next stage of Lightning integration (enabling microtransactions) is expected in Q3 2025, which could further embolden commercial adoption.
• Macro-regulatory Improvements: India, the USA, and the EU are all progressing on clearer, more crypto-friendly regulatory frameworks, reducing existential downside risks.
• New Use Cases: Cross-border B2B settlements, institutional custody solutions, and programmable payments are driving novel flows and network utility.

Investment Strategies by Horizon

Short-Term (1–3 Months)

• Dip Opportunity: Technical pullbacks into the $100,000–$105,000 range have historically offered high-probability entry levels, especially as the upcoming protocol update nears.
• Event-Driven Catalysts: Anticipation for new ETF launches or protocol upgrades could spark preemptive buying and higher volatility, offering traders an edge.

Medium-Term (3–12 Months)

• Trend Continuation: Sustained upward price momentum and strong on-chain accumulation could propel BTC toward $125,000–$150,000, as forecast by top analysts, making staged entries attractive.
• Macro Flows: Ongoing fiat instability and central bank easing underscore Bitcoin’s perceived safe haven value, potentially accelerating rotation from other assets.

Long-Term (12–60 Months)

• Halving-Driven Scarcity: Post-2024 halving effects have historically played out over 12–24 months, suggesting a multi-year supercycle still in its early innings.
• Institutional Integration: Full institutional onboarding, plus maturation of the Bitcoin ETF market, could drive global liquidity and price discovery to unprecedented levels.
• Retirement Accounts: Incremental allocation via pension and retirement funds could transform the demand curve, creating powerful network effects and support for higher valuations.

5-year Bitcoin Price Projections

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Bitcoin?

Summary of Strengths

• Fundamental Resilience: Persistent adoption, robust protocol security, unrivaled network effects, and technologically driven expansion.
• Favourable Technical Backdrop: Bullish momentum, strong support levels, and constructive on-chain signals all point to a compelling setup for continued upside.
• Liquidity and Accessibility: Dominant market share and infrastructure enhancements (including ETFs and regulated products) broaden mainstream access.
• Macro Environment: Structural inflation, fiat currency dilution, and institutional asset rotation converge to elevate Bitcoin’s strategic appeal.

Optimistic Outlook and Clear Takeaways

With institutional flows accelerating, protocol innovation surging, and global demand for scarce assets rising, Bitcoin seems to represent an excellent opportunity for both seasoned investors and those diversifying into digital assets for the first time. The supply shock triggered by the 2024 halving, coupled with strong technical momentum and ongoing integration into mainstream finance, underscores the rationale for a renewed focus on Bitcoin.

While market volatility is ever-present and diligent risk management remains essential, the foundation is set for a new phase of value creation. Investors seeking exposure to a leading, liquid, and fundamentally robust digital asset will find that the current convergence of macro, technical, and adoption trends justifies sustained interest. Bitcoin could well be entering an extended bullish cycle, with each retraction and technological milestone reaffirming its long-term potential.

Key technical levels to watch are $105,000 as immediate support and $113,000–$125,000 as the next upside targets. The next protocol update—expected in Q3 2025—may serve as a major positive catalyst on both sentiment and use case adoption.

How to buy Bitcoin?

It’s simple and secure to buy Bitcoin (BTC) online using a regulated platform in India. Two major methods are available to individual investors: spot buying (direct purchase of real coins) and trading via crypto CFDs (contracts for difference, allowing speculation on price movements without owning the coins). Each approach offers its own risk profile and benefits, suiting different investor goals. To help you pick the best option, we provide a detailed comparison of trusted platforms further down this page.

Spot Buying of Bitcoin

Spot buying means you purchase real Bitcoin, which is stored in a wallet you control, either on the platform or after transfer to your own private wallet. In this scenario, you fully own each fraction or unit of BTC purchased. Platforms usually charge a fixed commission per transaction, commonly from 0.1% to 1%, or a small fixed fee (for example, around ₹500 per ₹100,000 invested).

Example

Suppose you invest ₹100,000, and the current Bitcoin price is ₹8,770,000 (approx. $104,909 USD x 83.5 INR/USD). With this amount, you can acquire about 0.0114 BTC, considering a ₹500 transaction fee.

• Gain Scenario: If Bitcoin’s price grows by 10%, your holdings would now be worth ₹110,000.
  Result: Gross gain of ₹10,000 on your ₹100,000 investment (+10%).

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on Bitcoin’s price without actually owning the coin. You open positions reflecting Bitcoin’s value, with the possibility of using leverage (borrowing to magnify gains or losses). Platforms charge a spread (difference between buy/sell prices), plus overnight financing fees if positions are held for more than a day.

Example

You open a CFD position on BTC with ₹100,000 and 5x leverage. This gives you exposure worth ₹500,000 to Bitcoin’s price.

• Gain Scenario: If the BTC price rises by 8%, your position gains 8% x 5 = 40%.
  Result: That’s a gross profit of ₹40,000 on your ₹100,000 stake (excluding fees).

Key Advice Before You Invest

Always compare both the fees and conditions of each crypto platform before you buy or trade Bitcoin, as costs and regulatory protections vary. The best method depends on your investment goals and level of experience: spot buying for long-term holders, CFDs for experienced traders seeking flexibility. To find the solution that matches your profile, refer to our detailed platform comparator just below.

Our 7 tips for buying Bitcoin

The latest news about Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price remains resilient above $104,000 with strong technical buy signals and upward momentum. Over the last seven days, Bitcoin closed at $104,909, showing a weekly gain of 1.28% and an intraday increase nearing 2%. Technical indicators continue to flash strong buy signals: the RSI at 59.85 and the MACD well into positive territory reflect a robust upward trend. All key moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200 days) have also turned positive, reinforcing the consensus among market analysts for a “strong buy” outlook. This technical strength is underpinned by stable trading volumes ($45–46B daily), suggesting sustained market participation and confidence even after the recent record high of $113,165 in May.

Institutional adoption surges as Bitcoin ETFs record substantial inflows and corporate holdings reach new highs. The last week confirmed continued institutional commitment: Bitcoin ETFs now command $110B in assets under management, with projected 2025 inflows topping $55B. Especially relevant for Indian investors, global institutions like JPMorgan, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy have all ramped up exposure—Fidelity’s spot ETF noted $22.8M in net inflows just this week, and MicroStrategy announced a fresh $1B raise to buy additional Bitcoin. This institutional momentum continues to legitimize Bitcoin among traditional investors and boosts global confidence, which can indirectly support positive sentiment in India’s financial community engaged in crypto-related products and research.

Strong network fundamentals highlighted by a new record hashrate and the milestone of the 900,000th block mined. On June 6, 2025, Bitcoin miners validated the 900,000th block, signaling blockchain security and liveness. More importantly, the network’s hashrate soared to a record 916 EH/s, up 77% from last year’s lows. The rising hashrate, combined with only a modest upcoming dip in mining difficulty, points to sustained miner commitment and massive invested infrastructure—positive structural signals that underpin both network security and long-term value, highly relevant for markets like India where mining narratives and security standards play into policy and investor confidence.

ETF and product expansion favor Indian investors, granting easier and regulated access to Bitcoin exposure. The past week’s momentum in US-based spot ETFs can be seen as a harbinger for other jurisdictions, including India, to eventually support regulated crypto products given growing investor interest. While direct Bitcoin trading in India involves regulatory complexity, many Indian investors and asset managers are tracking global movements for future domestic product launches or overseas ETF access. The steady growth and legitimacy of spot ETFs bolster arguments for regulated access—a constructive long-term market catalyst for Indian participation, portfolio diversification, and compliance-driven onboarding.

Post-halving scarcity and positive analyst forecasts reinforce medium- to long-term optimism for Bitcoin’s value. The supply shock effect from last year’s halving is still playing out, with only 19.88M BTC now in circulation of a strict 21M maximum, reaffirming Bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative. Leading analysts maintain bullish projections: June 2025 sees consensus targets between $110,000 and $125,000, with end-of-year estimates ranging from $150,000 to $200,000, and some optimistic scenarios reaching $220,000. These forecasts, based on observed capital inflows, network strength, and corporates’ growing reserves, support a strategic allocation to Bitcoin for medium- and long-term Indian investors seeking growth and hedging alternatives within a balanced portfolio.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.